Looks like the intake manifold gasket. Reason I say that is you have the intake mainfold with aluminum crossover -- known to have a less chance of cracking etc, if it was the thermostat gasket it would be leaking from farther up top/around where the thermostat housing and intake manifold come together. You can pick up a set of gaskets for $35 bucks or so and swap them out in less than an hour if you have a general idea of what youre doing....This is based off of your second picture. I couldnt see a whole lot from the first other than where the coolant has leaked.